If Vibecoding Worked, We’d See a Boom in Small Businesses — Congratulations, You’re a Luddite

The absence of a flood of vibecoded commercial products doesn’t prove the technology doesn’t work. It proves you don’t understand the world you’re standing in.

I've discovered a new wave of Luddites. This time it's not weavers with sledgehammers, nor programmers whining about neural networks taking their jobs. It's product managers.

Their argument is singular, repeated like a mantra: "If vibecoding actually worked, we'd see a massive surge of new, successful commercial IT projects across every sector. But we don't. Instead, every founder is just tinkering with something in their own corner." The conclusion they draw: vibecoding is a dud, a marketing bubble, a toy.

And here is where you want to grab them by the collar and shake them gently.

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«AI Should Augment, Not Replace» — Who Told You Anyone Wants to Augment You?

The thesis that AI should augment humans is not a market description. It is a plea to a market that has never had that motive.

"AI should augment humans, not replace them!" — hundreds of people write this to me. Not a single one of them is in a leadership position.

Beyond the obvious infantilism of the thesis — it reads like a whimpering "please don't replace me" — let us seriously examine the economics. Not the emotion, not the morality, but the arithmetic by which hiring and layoff decisions are actually made.

The main question everyone skips: what made you assume anyone wants to augment you in the first place?

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The Business Has No Ideas for AI — No, It Just Gave Up on You

One of the most absurd beliefs about AI in software engineering is that the business doesn’t have enough ideas to justify the speed. The reality is uglier.

A common belief I keep hearing is about AI in software engineering is that the speed doesn't matter because the business doesn't have enough ideas to fill the pipeline.

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